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| Forex trading |
Forex markets have been trading with a real lack of conviction in the last week or so. So it is a touch disappointing that the traction that the dollar bulls found during yesterday’s session seems to be ebbing away again this morning.
Swings in sentiment surrounding trade tariffs and protectionism have certainly not helped, whilst a mixed set of data from the US has also failed to ignite interest. However, there is one forex major that is finding traction again, the Japanese yen is once more the major outperformer. After a brief interlude earlier in the week, the yen bulls seem to be back on track once more. However with Treasury yields stabilising and gold under pressure, it is difficult to attribute this entirely to safe haven positioning. Equity markets are still hamstrung by the moves that are coming out of the White House, the latest concerns overnight that Trump is now replacing his national security advisor H.R. McMaster. Equities are a higher risk asset class and tend to react strongly to shifts in market sentiment. Whilst fears continue over the implications of the moves that Trump is making, equities will struggle to form any meaningful recovery. Add in the fact that next week’s crucial FOMC meeting is looming now, and we could be set for further indecision in the markets.
Wall Street closed mixed early gains were sold into. The Dow was slightly higher, but the S&P 500 was down -0.1% at 2747, whilst Asian markets were broadly weaker with the Nikkei -0.6%. In the European session, markets are also looking mixed in early moves. In forex the outperformance of the yen seems to have been re-asserted, whilst the dollar is giving up some of its gains from yesterday against the euro and sterling. In commodities, the slight unwinding of yesterday’s dollar strength is helping gold to find a touch of support, up around $2, whilst the oil price is consolidating.
Traders will be keeping an eye on the final Eurozone CPI reading at 1000GMT for any revisions, although none are expected from the headline of +1.2% and core of +1.0% in the flash reading. US data begins with the US Building Permits at 1230GMT which is expected to slip slightly to +1.33m (from 1.38m) whilst Housing Starts are expected to drop to 1.30m (from 1.33m). The February US Industrial Production is at 1315GMT and is expected to grow by +0.3% for the month (after falling surprisingly by -0.1% in January). Capacity Utilization is expected to continue to improve back to 77.7% (up from 77.5% the previous month). The prelim reading of the University of Michigan Sentiment is at 1400GMT and is expected to slip back slightly to 99.3 (from the extremely strong 99.9 last month) whilst the JOLTS jobs opening are also at 1400GMT and are expected to increase to 5.89m (from 5.81m).
Chart of the Day – USD/TRY
The Emerging Markets currencies have been negatively impact by the increased potential of a protectionist US due to trade tariffs and the Turkish Lira has broken a key level. The Turkish Lira has weakened significantly in the past week against the US dollar, with USD/TRY breaking decisively higher above the January high at 3.8480. This completed a base breakout which implies a move towards 3.9600 in the coming weeks. This would also suggest a retest of the key November high at 3.9815 could now be seen. This is accompanied by a decisive strengthening of momentum indicators with the RSI into the 60s with conviction and a three and a half month high. The market has posted a higher daily low in each of the past seven sessions, whilst Wednesday’s session had an initial pullback which found support around the breakout around 3.85 before pushing back higher again as corrections remain a chance to buy. Having also broken higher above 3.90 yesterday, the resistance is being cleared for a push towards the November highs. Should there be a corrective slip in the market there is now a basis of support 3.8290/3.8480.
EUR/USD
It was interesting to see the euro weakening and the dollar gaining strength which has broken a small uptrend that the pair had been building in recent weeks. The market has been trading within ever tighter converging trend lines in recent weeks and this strong bear candle could begin to give the pair a little direction, at least in the near term. However there needs to be another solid negative candle today in order for that to be seen, alongside a break of the support at $1.2270. This would be a key near term move, but as yet it looks as though the market is again trading without conviction as the early move is one of retracement. There is little real reaction to yesterday’s candle on the momentum indicators which remain staunchly neutrally configured. The hourly chart shows momentum picking up again as a ranging configuration continues, leaving support at $1.2295 initially. As the market rallies again, resistance sits at a near term pivot of $1.2345 before $1.2385 and then $1.2412. It would seem that we continue to wait for direction.
GBP/USD
It had looked earlier in the week that the market was beginning to find a little upside traction. The move above $1.3930 seemed to be a positive near term move that would give the bulls a shove in the right direction. However once more the psychological pivot resistance around $1.4000 is proving too much as the market has shied away. The bulls have had a look at the resistance in each of the past three completed sessions but not fancied it, forming a mildly negative candle yesterday. Momentum indicators look to have the potential to turn positive but as yet remain stuck in neutral configuration as the market continues to drift. Again today there is little direction to speak of. This is all reflected on the hourly chart too. Initial support is around $1.3910/20 which is maintaining a run of higher lows, however the failure to break above $1.4000 remains a concern for the longevity of any move higher. Further resistance is at $1.4070.
USD/JPY
It seems to be a bit of a choppy move, but the yen seems to be once more on a strengthening path again. A path of lower highs in the past few sessions whilst testing lower reflects this. Yesterday’s candlestick was a long lower shadowed doji , which suggests the Dollar/Yen bear testing lower but unable to break free. The fact that the market is again lower today suggests that downside pressure is building. Momentum indicators are also now turning lower again with the RSI tracking below 40 and the Stochastics also crossing lower. This points towards intraday rallies being sold into and a breach of yesterday’s low at 105.75 which would re-open the key March low at 105.23. The hourly chart shows that the near term importance of the 106.35 pivot has increased further as another rebound has failed around it. Hourly momentum indicators are now negatively configured to confirm the position of selling into strength.
Gold
A solid negative candle on gold has broken the shackles, or has it. A run of higher lows, small bodied candlesticks with long lower shadows has ended with a close lower of $9. This has broken a mini uptrend formation and is now putting pressure back on the ten week range low at $1302.60 and the long term pivot at $1300. However, overnight, the market has not run with the move and there is a degree of uncertainty early today. The chart is littered with failed moves and a lack of decisiveness. A failure to add to this downside shift would again play into this. The initial support at $1313 also remains intact currently. The move has though added resistance at $1330 below the $1341 March high, whilst daily momentum indicators are threatening to tick lower. The hourly chart shows momentum indicators have also swung back higher overnight. A failure for the bulls to reclaim $1320 would be a concern though and there is a mild negative bias with the outlook now. It just depends whether the market can begin to trade with conviction. This appears unlikely so far.
WTI Oil
A positive session means the bulls have rallied to hold on to the key support around $60.00 which is a key near term floor. However the run of lower highs continues to be a drag on the price as rallies continue to be sold at lower levels. It would need a concerted effort for a decisive break above the reaction high at $62.35 which would also mean an upside break of the five week downtrend. In truth though there is very little direction on WTI oil until either a decisive (closing) break below $60 or above the early March high at $63.28. There is a run of ranging momentum indicators suggesting using the near term extremes (30/70 on hourly RSI) can provide opportunity on a near term basis, but decisive direction is lacking.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
The bulls returned to maintain the support of what is a five week uptrend and arrest a concerning decline that had formed over the previous three sessions. This plays into the whole outlook of uncertainty which is reflected in the momentum indicators that lack a decisive configuration, whilst the fact that the bulls could not sustain the upside move in yesterday’s session is also a concern. Furthermore, recent market moves seem to be finding turning points at the Fibonacci retracements. The support is bolstered now around the 38.2% Fib level at 24,604, whilst resistance is strong around the 61.8% Fib at 25,372. With the failure at 25,053 which is another lower daily high, there are question marks over whether the bulls can maintain a pick up from 24,668 now. The hourly chart suggests a near term corner has been turned with the improvement in momentum, however the Dow is still trading without any real conviction. A move above 25,150 opens a test of the March rebound high at 25,450.
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yen euro converter
yen exchange rate history
yen euro exchange rate
yen english dictionary
yen etf
yen exchange rate chart
an embankment
e tenders
e tender wales
e tendering portal
e tenders uk
e tenebris lux
e tenders northern ireland
e tennis
e tendering portal bravo
e tends to infinity
e tense
yen forecast
yen fu
yen food
yen fx
yen futures
yen forecast 2018
yen fay
yen fu chen
yen foong
yen facebook
f yens.dk
f yeni il herfi
yen f
yendri f
yeni f
yeniköy f. erdilli gourmet slow food
en yeni filmler
yeniköy f erdilli
yeni f@tih şifresi
yenikent f tipi cezaevi
yen glasgow
yen ghana
yen garden
yen glasgow rotunda
yen gbp chart
yen graph
yen getting stronger
yen gwent card
yen glasgow pre theatre
yen ghana entertainment news
g-yen
yeng
gengar
g. yen co. ltd
g yeni il herfi
g yeniçağ
yenchih g. lin
yenar g maza raja
yenişafak g
yeni gmail
yen holborn
yen hsun lu
yen hall farm
yen hairdressers
yen hair
yen hairdressers barnt green
yen hongmei jin
yen holborn viaduct menu
yen history
yen holidays 2018
hai yen hotel
hai yen hotel da nang
hai yen
hai yen massage
hai yen neutral bay
hai yen bankstown
hai yen computer
hai yen argyle
hai yen eye care
hai yen family hotel
yen into pounds
yen inflation
yen into dollars
yen is the currency of which country
yen in euro
yen index
yen icon
yen in japanese
yen inflation calculator
yen in scrabble
iyengar yoga studio
iyengar yoga studio london
i yen berapa rupiah
i yen to inr
i yen berapa rupiah 2018
i yen to dollar
i yen in rupees
i yen berapa rupiah 2017
i yensch you yensch
i yen berapa rupiah 2016
yen japanese
yen jewellery
yen japanese restaurant london
yen jui lin
yen jeans
yen jean night vision glasses
yen jui lin buy
yen jui lin shop
yen jean wee
yen jing
j yen to us$
j yen to euro
j yenom
j. yencha
j.yen to inr
yen j good things lyrics
yen j something
yen j facebook
yen j temporary boyfriend
yen j instagram
yen kuok
yen kanji
yen kuok age
yen keyboard shortcut
yen kuok husband
yen knott
yen kuok wiki
yen kuok mother
yen kisses geralt in front of triss
yen king william street
k-yen fur
k-yen fur coat
k yen clothing
k-yen coat
k-yen jacket
k-yen leather jacket
k yuen bridport
k yeniden son bölüm
k.yenice
k-yen shop online
yen london menu
yen london review
yen lin goodmayes closing down
yen linh menu
yen logo
yen london tripadvisor
yen luxury hair
yen libor
l-yen wallet
l yendas
l yeni il herfi
l.yen
yeny l pena mesa
jennifer l yen
jennifer l. yen power rangers
chanel l yen wallet price
l wise yennora
yen meaning
yen menu
yen money
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yen magazine
yen minh
yen market
yen mak
yen mac
yen mullins model
m yeni jockey
m yeni
m yeni akit
mynele
m-yeni şafak
m.yenisafak
m.yeniakit.com.tr yazarlar
m.yenisafak.com yazarlar
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yen notes
yen nails
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n yennaris
n-yen
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en yeni mp3
n yeni şarkılar
en yeni oyunlar
en yeni korku filmleri
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yen oriental
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o energy
o entertainment
o entertainment logo
o en university
no entry sign
o entries
o entertainment clg wiki
coenzyme q10
openrent
o enforcado tarot
yen pound exchange rate
yen paris
yen play
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yen price
yen press manga
yen pox
yen paris restaurant
p yende
p_yeni
yen p le dds
yenepoya p u college
yen p vo md
yen p chen dds
yen p chen md
yana p
yen p nisco
yennie p
yen quach
yen choo
yen chinese glasgow
yen chart
yen china
yen chen
yen chang compliance
yen choo plasticell
q yen nhien tsonline
q yeni sezon
q yen nhien
yeni q herfleri
persona q yen
yeni q 7
yeni q 5
yendo q significa
yenişehir q bahçe
yendo q es
yen restaurant
yen rate
yen rotunda
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yen restaurant review
yen restaurant paris
yen romance
yen reis
yen rotunda 5pm
r yeni il herfi
yeni r
yenib r ş
yenilmezle r
yenny r
yeni r&b şarkılar 2015
yeni r line passat
d&r yeni çıkanlar
d&r yeni çıkan kitaplar
d&r yeni kitaplar
yen sushi
yen sid
yen sterling
yen strand
yen santos
yen scrabble
yen symbol keyboard
yen sushi bath menu
s$ yen
sendell ltd
s yen ho
s yeni il
s yeni il herfi
s yendo o llendo
s yen vy
s yeni il herifi
s yeni il herfleri
s_yeni
yen to hkd
yen to inr
yen to aud
yen to myr
yen the strand
yen to sgd
t yenbadet
toyen skole
yenie_t
yen to peso
yen to rm
yen to cad
yen usd
yen usd exchange rate
yen urban dictionary
yen unicode
yen usd chart
yen uyire
yen us dollar
yen usd conversion
yen ulle yen ulle song
yen urge
u yen vegetarian restaurant
u yen te cie ci lyrics
u yen te cie ci
kongpop u-yen
yenilmezler u
u tuyen yen
u thi yen tatoo
u tuyen yen tiet prolactin
u thi hai yen
yen vs pound
yen value
yen vs dollar
yen vs triss
yen vs usd
yen to gbp
yen vs yuan
yen vinh chinese midhurst
yen voo ubs
yen value over time
$ v yen
yen v dollar
yen v aud
yen v pound
yen v usd
yen v le dds
yen v australian dollar
yen v euro
yen v dollar exchange rate
yen witcher 3
yen wikipedia
yen wc2
yen wallet
yen westhill
yen wheat
yen wei tsinghua university
yen wanted to talk about me and triss
yen witcher 3 romance
yen wor
w yen taipei
w yen bar
yen w taipei menu
yenny w
yen w hotel beijing
jennifer w
w taipei yen bar
dimension w yen press
w hotel yen restaurant
john w. yengo sr
yen xe
yến xôi
yen xao
yen xe dap
yen xing
yen sao khanh hoa
yến xù
yen xin
yên xe phương nam
yen xe dap tieng anh
xyience
x yender
x tenso
yen x dollar
yennefer and triss
yeni_x instagram
yennefer and geralt
yennefer and ciri
yeni x trail
yeni x trail yorum
yin yang
yin yoga
yen yau
yen yuan
yin yang tattoo
yin yoga poses
yen yen ooi cambridge associates
yen yen tan
yen yen teh
y yen nam dinh
y.yendi clothing
y.yendi online shop
y.yendi paris
y yendo
y.yendi online
y yen bao moi
y.yendi mode
y.yendi homepage
y yenny
yen zhi tang
ensure
ensuite
ensemble
ensure synonym
ensign
ensconced
ensuite bathroom
ensure plus
ensure meaning
z yen financial centres index
z yen group's financial capitals
z/yen blockchain
z yen caption competition
z/yen index
z/yen et long finance
z/yen report
0 yen house
0 yen phone
.001 yen
0.05 inr
000 yen
.01 yen
king yen 01001
yen 60 000
yen 10 000
yen 100 000
0 yen to dollars
0 yen hkd
0yen internet
0 yeni clio
0 kilometre yenibir araba alırım
0 kilometre yenibir araba
0 kilometre yenibir araba alırım dinle
0 yeni arabalar
yen 190 strand
yen 10000
yen 1000
yen 100
yen 10
yen 10000 note
yen 1463
yen 1/1000
yen 150
yen 100 shop
1 yen in gbp
1 yen to usd
1 yen in pence
1 yen coin float
1 yen note
1 yen to 1 pound
1 yen berapa rupiah
1 yen to inr
1 yen to philippine peso
1 yen to idr
yen 2 pounds
yen 2018
yen 2017
yen 2000
yen 2016
yen 2018 forecast
yen 2015
yen 2017 registration
yen 2014
yet 207 bearing
2 yen to usd
2 yen coin
2 yen berapa rupiah
2 yennora court keysborough
2 yeni
2 yennora st campbelltown
2 yeni khk
2. yeniciler
2. yeni şairleri
2.yeni sonrası toplumcu şiir
yen 3 letter code
yen 30000
yen 3000
yen 300
yen 3x etf
yen 3 month libor
yen 3000 pounds
yen 30 million
yen 334
30000 yen to usd
3 tenors
3 tenths
3 tenths of 40
3 tenths as a percentage
3 tenths of 20
3 tenors songs
3 tennyson road
3 tens
3 tenses in french
3 tenths divided by 4
yen 4 zen yoga
yen 49 000
yen 43rd and bell
yen 400k
yen 4 viet
yen 407
yen 407 pxl
yen_429
40000 yen to usd
40000 yen
4 yenda avenue bulli
4 yenda ave bulli
4 yennora st campbelltown
4 yens way nissequogue ny
4 yens way st james
4 yeni element
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4 yeni üniversite kuruluyor
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yen 5pm
yen 5000
yen 500
yen 50
yen 5 year chart
yen 50000
yen 5 dollars
yen 50 usd
yen 50 dollars
yen 500 euros
5 yen in pounds
5 yen in pence
5 yen coin necklace
5 yen coin good luck
5 yen to usd
5 yen in dollars
5 yen to us dollars
5 yen coin value
5 yen bill
5 yen to peso
yen 67
yen 6000
yen 6 month chart
yen 60 euro
yen 605
yen 67 dep
60000 yen to usd
6000 yen to usd
600 yen to usd
6 yendon close caroline springs
6 yennora st campbelltown
6 yenda court hoppers crossing
6 yeni kahraman
6 yeni havalimanı
6 yeni otogar
6 yen berapa rupiah
6 yeni kahramanlar
6 yenilmezler
yeniyıl 6 gb
yen 75006
yen 7 little words
yen 78
yen 7000
yen 7184
yen 75 king william street
yen 70 000
yen 7 letters
70000 yen to usd
700 yen to usd
7 tenths as a decimal
7 tennis
7 tenths
7 tenths of 60
7 tennis app
7 tension states
7 tennyson road
7 tennis live stream
7 tenths as a fraction
7 tennyson avenue bangor
yen 80
yen 800
yen 80 bus
8000 yen to pounds £
80000 yen to usd
8000 yen
8000 yen to usd
80000 yen
80000 yen berapa rupiah
84000 yen
8 yen to usd
8 yen coin
8 yenda avenue queens park
8 yengarie way ocean shores
8 yeni üniversite kuruldu
8 yeni üniversite
8 million yen to usd
8 trillion yen to usd
8 million yen to us dollars
yeni 8. seviye köy düzeni
yen 999
yen 980
yen 95
yen 900
yen_91
90000 yen
9000 yen to usd
9000 yen
9720 yen
900 yen to peso
9 yennora ave yennora
9 yendon road carnegie
9 yeni tarix
9. yenilikler kongresi
9 trillion yen in usd
9 800 yen to dollars
9 720 yen
9 000 yen in us dollars
yeni 9+1 vito
yenidogan 9.hafta
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