AUD/USD Forex Technical Analysis – Bears Having Trouble With Major Retracement Zone at .7818 to .7743

Forex AUDUSD

The AUD/USD was under pressure on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told U.S. lawmakers the central bank would stick with gradual interest rate increases despite the added stimulus of tax cuts and government spending.

Powell pledged to “strike a balance” between the risk of an overheating economy and the need to keep growth on track.

Powell laid out a case where the Fed could raise rates more than it currently forecasts. Powell said, however, he would not ‘pre-judge’ the Fed forecast that will be released at the end of the March meeting.

Powell’s comment fueled a surge in bond yields, driving up the U.S. Dollar while making dollar-denominated gold as less-desirable investment.

Daily Technical Analysis

The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through .7789 will signal a resumption of the downtrend. A move through .7758 will reaffirm the downtrend. This will open up the AUD/USD for an even steeper sell-off.

A trade through .7893 will change the minor trend to up. A move through .7988 will change the main trend to up.

The main range is .7501 to .8135. The AUD/USD is currently testing its retracement zone at .7818 to .7743. Trader reaction to this zone will determine the longer-term direction of the Forex pair.

The short-term range is .8135 to .7758. If there is a surge to the upside then its retracement zone at .7947 to .7991 will become the primary upside target.

Daily Technical Forecast

Based on the current trade at .7812, the direction of the AUD/USD into the close is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the main 50% level at .7818.

A sustained move under .7818 will signal the presence of sellers. This could drive the Forex pair through .7789 and into .7758, followed by .7743. The latter is a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the downside with .7501 the next major target.

A sustained move over .7818 will indicate the return of buyers. This could create the upside momentum needed to challenge .7893. Overtaking this level could lead to a test of the short-term retracement zone at .7947 to .7991.

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AUD/USD Forex Technical Analysis – Bears Having Trouble With Major Retracement Zone at… https://t.co/dXK3ZGKl69

— Algobit Forex (@AlgobitForex) 28 febbraio 2018